Oliver vs Siroco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
AMP
0 - 7
OLI
22%
22%
56%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
OLI
2 - 1
GRI
86%
10%
5%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SJU
0 - 3
OLI
14%
19%
67%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
OLI
6 - 3
RCA
77%
14%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
HUR
3 - 5
OLI
33%
23%
44%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Siroco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SIR
3 - 2
ACU
42%
21%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
AMP
2 - 1
SIR
61%
19%
20%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SIR
0 - 1
GRI
53%
21%
26%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SJU
2 - 2
SIR
65%
18%
18%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SIR
0 - 2
RCA
19%
18%
63%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |