Oliver vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
LAA
2 - 3
OLI
42%
25%
33%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
OLI
3 - 0
CAL
43%
24%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
GAR
0 - 1
OLI
18%
22%
60%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 2
CDE
30%
25%
45%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
SAA
3 - 1
OLI
26%
24%
50%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
UDM
1 - 0
MON
34%
25%
42%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
UDC
2 - 0
UDM
78%
14%
8%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
UDM
1 - 2
ALF
22%
23%
54%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ICF
3 - 0
UDM
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
UDM
0 - 3
PED
43%
25%
32%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |