Oliver vs Español de Montañana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
RAN
2 - 1
OLI
72%
15%
13%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 4
CLA
83%
11%
7%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
DEL
1 - 2
OLI
17%
19%
65%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
5 - 0
MOV
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
OLI
47%
24%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Español de Montañana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 6
EMO
24%
20%
56%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
BAN
5 - 3
EMO
44%
21%
35%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
RAN
3 - 2
EMO
66%
17%
17%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
EMO
1 - 1
CLA
84%
10%
6%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
DEL
0 - 3
EMO
24%
20%
56%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |