Oliver vs Almudévar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 3
OLI
26%
24%
50%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ROB
1 - 1
OLI
59%
22%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
OLI
4 - 2
ALF
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ZUE
0 - 0
OLI
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 0
SAN
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Almudévar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CFA
1 - 1
ALF
57%
22%
21%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ZUE
2 - 1
CFA
60%
22%
18%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CFA
2 - 0
SAN
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 4
CFA
35%
25%
40%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CFA
8 - 1
PED
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |