Olivenza vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
65.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CDD
3 - 1
OLI
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 2
ADL
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
OLI
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
BAD
1 - 1
OLI
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
OLI
4 - 0
LOB
62%
21%
16%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
EMD
75%
17%
9%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CDD
0 - 3
MOR
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
4 - 0
JER
63%
22%
16%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 2
MOR
14%
22%
65%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
4 - 0
BAD
68%
21%
11%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |