Olivarense vs Calavera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olivarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LCF
3 - 0
OLI
21%
22%
58%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 0
CDA
77%
14%
10%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
OLI
5 - 2
TOM
12%
14%
74%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
CDD
2 - 1
OLI
68%
19%
14%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
OLI
5 - 1
LOR
35%
23%
41%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Calavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 3
TOM
4%
9%
87%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CDD
6 - 1
CAL
83%
12%
5%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 8
LOR
20%
21%
59%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BEN
4 - 2
CAL
74%
16%
11%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 3
AND
20%
22%
58%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |