Olinda vs Timbaúba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olinda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
IFC
0 - 2
OFC
22%
22%
56%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
LIM
0 - 5
OFC
19%
22%
59%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
OFC
3 - 1
FEC
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 1
OFC
46%
24%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
OFC
2 - 0
PER
77%
14%
9%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Timbaúba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
TFC
2 - 0
PES
33%
24%
43%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAB
1 - 0
TFC
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
TFC
2 - 0
ISC
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
TFC
1 - 0
CHA
26%
23%
51%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
SSS
2 - 0
TFC
28%
23%
49%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -2 |