Olinda vs Ferroviário do Cabo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olinda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 1
OFC
46%
24%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
OFC
2 - 0
PER
77%
14%
9%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
CSC
1 - 2
OFC
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
OFC
2 - 2
PES
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
CAB
1 - 1
OFC
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário do Cabo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
FEC
4 - 0
ISC
44%
24%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PES
2 - 1
FEC
75%
15%
9%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
FEC
0 - 1
CAB
19%
22%
59%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FEC
2 - 5
ACA
20%
21%
59%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
CSC
2 - 1
FEC
61%
21%
19%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |