Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 1-3
Olimpija Ljubljana vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ALU
4 - 5
OLI
23%
26%
51%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 0
OLI
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 1
DOM
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 3
GAL
24%
24%
53%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 1
LUD
42%
25%
34%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
QAR
2 - 1
ARA
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 2
QAR
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
QAR
3 - 0
TUR
66%
21%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
QAR
2 - 1
HJK
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
QAR
0 - 1
ZIR
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |