Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
2º
7º
3º
79
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 4
OLI
21%
24%
55%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 0
DOM
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 3
OLI
29%
25%
45%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
ROG
72%
19%
10%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 1
WOL
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DOM
2 - 1
CEL
37%
26%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
CEL
4 - 1
ROG
67%
21%
13%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEL
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CEL
4 - 1
NSM
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 4
CEL
24%
23%
53%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |