Olímpico SE vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
68.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olímpico SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CON
3 - 1
OSE
84%
13%
4%
|
29 | 63 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
OSE
0 - 0
ADC
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
ADC
1 - 2
OSE
28%
23%
50%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
OSE
2 - 0
CDC
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 3
OSE
19%
21%
60%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 2
ADC
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 19 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CON
0 - 2
ITA
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 0
CON
19%
27%
54%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +4 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
ITA
57%
24%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 1
SER
29%
28%
43%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +2 |