Sergipano 2 Etapas Finales. Quarter-finals
Global 4-0
Olímpico SE vs Barra SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olímpico SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
REC
0 - 3
OSE
16%
19%
65%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
OSE
3 - 0
INS
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AMP
0 - 0
OSE
15%
19%
67%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
OSE
0 - 0
BOQ
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BOQ
0 - 2
OSE
34%
23%
43%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Barra SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SOC
0 - 3
ADB
38%
23%
40%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
ADB
1 - 2
SEF
57%
21%
23%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 4
ADB
58%
20%
22%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ADB
0 - 0
SOC
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SOC
1 - 1
ADB
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |