Q. Europa League 1st Qualifying Round Final
Global 1-1
Olimpik Sarajevo vs Spartak Trnava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpik Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
ČEL
2 - 0
OSA
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
OSA
2 - 3
RAD
61%
24%
15%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ZRI
2 - 0
OSA
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
OSA
1 - 1
SIR
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
OSA
1 - 0
SLA
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
TNV
0 - 0
TER
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
ZIL
3 - 0
TNV
49%
25%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
TNV
3 - 1
DUK
73%
18%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
SMY
0 - 3
TNV
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
TNV
4 - 2
SEN
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |