Olimpic Castello A vs Moro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
53.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpic Castello A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
SAP
5 - 0
OLI
88%
9%
4%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 2
BEN
29%
22%
49%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
XCR
2 - 1
OLI
48%
20%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 0
JAL
63%
17%
19%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
HVR
2 - 3
OLI
47%
21%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Moro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
DRA
3 - 1
MOR
56%
19%
25%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 3
SAP
23%
20%
57%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 3
BOR
39%
22%
39%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 0
MOR
43%
21%
36%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MOR
5 - 1
AND
67%
16%
17%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |