Olimpia vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
SPC
2 - 0
OLI
23%
25%
52%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
OLI
0 - 3
LIB
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
LQE
2 - 3
OLI
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 3
OLI
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2004 |
OLI
1 - 3
GUA
57%
23%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
TAC
0 - 1
AME
66%
21%
14%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
CCP
1 - 0
TAC
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
TAC
4 - 1
12O
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
TAC
2 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
SPC
2 - 1
TAC
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |