Olimpia vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 0
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
OLI
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
CER
2 - 2
OLI
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
EME
0 - 0
OLI
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 1
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
RÑU
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
RÑU
3 - 1
TAC
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
RÑU
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 1
LQE
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
LIB
3 - 0
RÑU
68%
21%
12%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |