Olimpia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
11º
5º
25
5º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
LIB
2 - 1
OLI
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2025 |
OLI
2 - 1
2DE
61%
23%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
JLM
1 - 1
OLI
36%
29%
35%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
OLI
2 - 1
CCP
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
OLI
4 - 2
SPT
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2025 |
NAC
1 - 1
SPT
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2025 |
LQE
2 - 1
NAC
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
NAC
1 - 0
TEM
55%
27%
19%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
AME
2 - 1
NAC
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
NAC
1 - 2
GUA
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |