Olimpia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
3º
9º
3º
7
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
7 | 39 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 36 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
|
6º
|
4 | 33 |
3º
|
11% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 33 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 31 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 30 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 30 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 29 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 27 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 27 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 26 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 23 |
12º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
9.5% | 10% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 90% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
OLI
1 - 4
RAC
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
OLI
0 - 0
CDR
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
OLI
4 - 0
ABB
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
NAC
1 - 1
OLI
39%
29%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2025 |
OLI
1 - 1
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2025 |
JLM
2 - 4
NAC
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
NAC
1 - 1
OLI
39%
29%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
SPT
2 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
NAC
4 - 0
LQE
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
TEM
1 - 2
NAC
35%
29%
36%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |