Olimpia vs Nacional analysis

Olimpia Nacional
80 ELO 79
7.7% Tilt 15.1%
793º General ELO ranking 1036º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
53.8%
Olimpia
23.9%
Draw
22.4%
Nacional

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
Olimpia
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.4%
Win probability
Nacional
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Olimpia
-10%
+10%
Nacional

Points and table prediction

Olimpia
Their league position
Nacional
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
33
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Libertad
51
51
100%
Cerro Porteño
41
41
100%
Sportivo Trinidense
38
38
100%
Guaraní
33
33
100%
Nacional
33
33
100%
Olimpia
31
31
100%
Sportivo Ameliano
30
30
100%
Sportivo Luqueño
27
27
100%
General Caballero JLM
24
24
100%
Guaireña
10º
17
17
10º
100%
Resistencia
11º
17
17
11º
100%
Tacuary
12º
15
15
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Olimpia
Nacional
CONMEBOL Libertadores
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Olimpia
Nacional
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Olimpia
Olimpia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2023
LQE
Sportivo Luqueño
1 - 0
Olimpia
OLI
33%
25%
42%
80 76 4 0
09 Apr. 2023
RES
Resistencia
0 - 3
Olimpia
OLI
22%
24%
54%
80 72 8 0
07 Apr. 2023
MEL
FBC Melgar
1 - 1
Olimpia
OLI
27%
24%
50%
80 72 8 0
01 Apr. 2023
OLI
Olimpia
0 - 1
Guaraní
GUA
53%
24%
23%
80 80 0 0
25 Mar. 2023
AME
Sportivo Ameliano
2 - 2
Olimpia
OLI
35%
24%
41%
80 75 5 0

Matches

Nacional
Nacional
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2023
NAC
Nacional
2 - 2
Guaireña
GUA
48%
28%
24%
78 74 4 0
08 Apr. 2023
NAC
Nacional
0 - 1
Sportivo Trinidense
SPT
44%
27%
30%
79 75 4 -1
01 Apr. 2023
TAC
Tacuary
0 - 0
Nacional
NAC
29%
28%
43%
79 70 9 0
26 Mar. 2023
CCP
Cerro Porteño
4 - 1
Nacional
NAC
48%
26%
26%
79 80 1 0
19 Mar. 2023
NAC
Nacional
0 - 1
Sportivo Luqueño
LQE
48%
27%
25%
79 75 4 0