Olimpia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 0
GEN
84%
12%
4%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 0
AME
78%
15%
8%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
OLI
23%
22%
55%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
OLI
4 - 1
SPO
84%
12%
5%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 0
CRI
92%
6%
2%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
AME
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 2
GUA
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 3
NAC
41%
26%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 0
DEP
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
LQE
2 - 0
NAC
46%
25%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |