Olimpia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 2
SAN
81%
14%
6%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 5
OLI
28%
24%
47%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
OLI
1 - 1
UCO
72%
18%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 0
RPA
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
GOD
0 - 0
OLI
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
RPA
1 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
GEN
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
DEP
1 - 0
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CCP
1 - 1
NAC
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
AME
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |