Olimpia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 2
DEP
52%
23%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 1
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 2
IND
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 0
GEN
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SPT
0 - 4
OLI
22%
25%
54%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
DEP
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
LIB
43%
26%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2017 |
IND
1 - 2
NAC
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
EST
0 - 1
NAC
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 5
SPT
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |