Olimpia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
RÑU
0 - 1
OLI
23%
25%
52%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 0
CCP
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 5
OLI
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 2
GUA
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
IND
1 - 1
OLI
23%
25%
52%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 4
GEN
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
AME
0 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
CRZ
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
SPT
1 - 1
NAC
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |