Olimpia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
AME
2 - 1
OLI
33%
24%
42%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
RIV
5 - 1
OLI
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
4 - 2
CCP
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 0
OLI
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
OLI
5 - 3
RPA
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
GUA
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 2
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
LQE
2 - 1
NAC
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
AME
0 - 1
NAC
59%
21%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +2 |