Olimpia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
LQE
1 - 1
OLI
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 0
12O
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 3
OLI
25%
26%
49%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 0
NAC
44%
25%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
SLO
1 - 0
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
GUA
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
SLO
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
RÑU
1 - 2
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 0
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |