Olimpia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 2
CCP
43%
25%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
AME
3 - 0
OLI
38%
26%
37%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2014 |
OLI
3 - 2
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
OLI
21%
26%
53%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 0
OLI
35%
26%
40%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
40%
28%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
GEN
2 - 0
NAC
27%
27%
47%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
AME
1 - 1
NAC
35%
26%
40%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 1
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
13%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |