Olimpia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TAC
2 - 3
OLI
19%
26%
55%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 1
EME
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LQE
2 - 1
OLI
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 2
LIB
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
OLI
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
AME
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
GUA
51%
25%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
TAC
0 - 1
NAC
22%
25%
53%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CER
2 - 3
NAC
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 0
LQE
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |