Olimpia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
OLI
3 - 1
SAN
79%
15%
7%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
0 - 0
OLI
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 3
RÑU
62%
21%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
TAC
0 - 0
OLI
25%
28%
47%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
OLI
4 - 3
GUA
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 0
CCP
40%
28%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
NAC
22%
26%
53%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 0
LQE
69%
21%
11%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 0
AME
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
RÑU
0 - 0
NAC
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |