Olimpia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
SPT
0 - 3
OLI
36%
29%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 1
LQE
63%
22%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
TAC
0 - 4
OLI
32%
29%
39%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 1
RÑU
52%
25%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
OLI
0 - 0
GUA
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 0
MON
22%
24%
55%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 3
CCP
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 0
NAC
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
SAN
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 2
AME
63%
23%
14%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |