Olimpia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
OLI
1 - 1
LQE
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
AME
2 - 2
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2008 |
OLI
1 - 2
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 0
OLI
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
PET
2 - 3
OLI
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 3
NAC
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 4
LIB
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
PET
1 - 4
NAC
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
NAC
0 - 3
CCP
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 2
NAC
32%
26%
43%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |