Olimpia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
LIB
0 - 1
OLI
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
OLI
1 - 2
AME
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 1
OLI
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
OLI
2 - 1
CCP
39%
26%
36%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
TAC
0 - 1
OLI
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 3
CCP
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
TAC
2 - 2
NAC
39%
28%
34%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
GUA
2 - 1
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
NAC
2 - 1
LQE
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
12O
0 - 1
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |