Copa Libertadores qualifying 1st Round Final
Global 2-0
Olimpia vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
MWA
0 - 0
OLI
37%
25%
39%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
OLI
3 - 2
BUC
79%
15%
6%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 2
OLI
36%
27%
38%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 0
LIB
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
IND
1 - 3
OLI
24%
26%
51%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
MWA
0 - 0
OLI
37%
25%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
JUV
2 - 5
MWA
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MWA
1 - 0
SUD
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 1
MWA
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MWA
1 - 0
JUN
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |