Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
7º
1º
26
1º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
SPT
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
JLM
0 - 0
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
GUA
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 1
OLI
64%
20%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
LIB
2 - 2
SPT
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
LIB
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 2
NAC
49%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
UCE
1 - 1
LIB
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TAC
2 - 4
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |