Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
AME
1 - 0
OLI
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 1
LIB
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
OLI
4 - 0
LQE
63%
21%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 0
GUA
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CCP
1 - 0
OLI
39%
26%
36%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
LQE
2 - 2
LIB
30%
25%
46%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 1
LIB
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
LIB
2 - 0
LQE
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
12O
0 - 1
LIB
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |