Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
UCO
3 - 3
OLI
17%
23%
60%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
CCP
1 - 3
OLI
35%
25%
40%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 0
LQE
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
OLI
4 - 0
AME
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 1
GOD
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
LIB
0 - 2
GRE
41%
28%
31%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 1
RPA
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 1
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
GEN
1 - 3
LIB
21%
25%
55%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
UCO
2 - 3
LIB
39%
27%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |