Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 2
CCP
58%
22%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 4
OLI
14%
22%
64%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 2
OLI
22%
24%
54%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
OLI
4 - 2
LQE
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 5
OLI
17%
23%
60%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 2
LIB
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
LIB
5 - 0
GEN
76%
18%
7%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
LIB
2 - 1
IND
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
CCP
0 - 1
LIB
55%
23%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |