Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 3
OLI
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
OLI
3 - 2
IND
66%
20%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
CCP
0 - 2
OLI
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
OLI
4 - 1
DEP
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
LQE
0 - 1
OLI
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
LIB
0 - 0
SAN
60%
23%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
LIB
2 - 4
BOC
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
AME
0 - 2
LIB
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
43%
27%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
LIB
3 - 0
GUA
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |