Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
IND
1 - 3
OLI
24%
26%
51%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 0
SPT
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
GEN
1 - 0
OLI
33%
27%
41%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 1
CCP
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 0
OLI
51%
23%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
IND
3 - 1
LIB
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 0
DEP
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 0
IND
34%
28%
39%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
AME
1 - 2
LIB
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
IND
0 - 1
LIB
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |