Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 4
OLI
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 1
RÑU
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CCP
2 - 1
OLI
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
LQE
0 - 0
OLI
26%
25%
49%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 0
DEP
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LIB
3 - 0
GEN
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
AME
0 - 1
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 2
SPT
68%
21%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
SBW
3 - 3
LIB
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 1
NAC
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |