Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 4
OLI
22%
25%
52%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 0
AME
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
OLI
4 - 0
DEP
57%
21%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
RPA
0 - 2
OLI
17%
24%
59%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 3
PAL
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 1
LIB
30%
28%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
LIB
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 2
LQE
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |