Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
AME
2 - 1
OLI
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
OLI
2 - 1
CCP
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 0
SAN
63%
21%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 0
OLI
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
OLI
3 - 2
SPO
72%
19%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
LIB
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 0
LIB
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
SPO
70%
20%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
RÑU
1 - 0
LIB
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
LIB
3 - 3
DEP
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |