Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
LQE
0 - 1
OLI
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
OLI
2 - 1
CDN
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
OLI
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 1
AME
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
LQE
0 - 1
OLI
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
GEN
57%
24%
20%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
LIB
3 - 0
SPO
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 1
LIB
30%
28%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
LIB
3 - 1
DEP
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
LIB
34%
29%
37%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |