Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 1
AME
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 1
LQE
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
12O
2 - 1
OLI
22%
26%
53%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
4 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
RÑU
0 - 3
LIB
33%
26%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 1
DEP
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 0
LIB
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
6 - 0
GEN
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |