Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
OLI
25%
26%
50%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LQE
2 - 1
OLI
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
OLI
3 - 1
CER
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 1
GEN
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
AME
4 - 4
OLI
39%
27%
35%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 3
GEN
54%
26%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
CER
2 - 1
LIB
18%
25%
57%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LIB
3 - 0
AME
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |