Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
CER
1 - 2
OLI
23%
26%
50%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2013 |
OLI
3 - 2
CAR
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
RÑU
0 - 0
OLI
20%
25%
55%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 1
FLU
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 1
DEP
61%
24%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 1
AME
60%
24%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CER
2 - 3
LIB
26%
27%
48%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
CAR
69%
21%
11%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
CCP
3 - 1
LIB
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |