Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
OLI
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 0
CCP
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
RÑU
0 - 3
OLI
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 2
CCP
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
LQE
2 - 1
OLI
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 1
LIB
20%
27%
53%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
RÑU
70%
19%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
IND
1 - 4
LIB
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |