Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 0
OLI
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 0
RÑU
70%
19%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
IND
3 - 0
OLI
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 3
CER
76%
16%
7%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
OLI
26%
28%
46%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
UCH
1 - 1
LIB
56%
22%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
UCH
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 1
AME
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 0
CAZ
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |