Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 1
RÑU
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
TAC
2 - 3
OLI
25%
27%
48%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 0
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
IND
0 - 2
OLI
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 0
LQE
80%
14%
5%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 2
IND
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LQE
0 - 0
LIB
22%
27%
51%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
LIB
0 - 1
CCP
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
AME
0 - 3
LIB
30%
28%
42%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 0
GEN
77%
16%
7%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |