Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
OLI
3 - 1
TAC
71%
19%
11%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
OLI
21%
25%
54%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
ARS
3 - 2
OLI
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 0
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 2
IND
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 0
SAO
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 1
TAC
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 0
LIB
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
LIB
44%
28%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 1
RÑU
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |