Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2011 |
RÑU
0 - 3
OLI
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 0
TAC
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
OLI
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 2
CCP
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
LQE
1 - 4
OLI
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
LIB
38%
29%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
LIB
3 - 0
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 4
VEL
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
47%
28%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 0
LIB
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |